Remember that fabulous match in Rio de Janeiro a little over two months ago, between surprise first-time finalists Laslo Djere of Serbia and Félix Auger-Aliassime of Canada?
It portended the start of good things for both.
And on this Monday, both are in the top 30 and both at career highs.
A few things can still happen. But the rise that began on that humid night in Brazil will culminate in Paris, where both could well be seeded at a Grand Slam for the first time.
Auger-Aliassime has 30 points left to defend before Roland Garros. And it’s a very tight little area of the rankings. Dangerous names like Stan Wawrinka and Nick Kyrgios lurk just behind the Canadian.
But the 18-year-old has points opportunities himself in Madrid and Rome.
Kevin Anderson is already out of Paris – and Juan Martin del Potro still has not even returned to the court. There’s a little wiggle room.
A year ago, Auger-Aliassime lost in the second round of the qualifying to Jaume Munar of Spain. This will be the first time he’s straight into the main draw of a major in his young career.
For Djere, 23, there’s a 2018 semifinal in Istanbul as well as a final at a Challenger in Rome to defend before Paris – 145 points.
As with Auger-Aliassime, he will be making his first-ever appearance in both Madrid and Rome – and straight into the main draw.
Djere has played the French Open four times. He was straight into the main draw last year (barely). And he qualified in 2016. But he has yet to win a main-draw match there.
Two stories unfolding during the heart of the clay-court tuneup season, and into the 16th arrondissement.
ON THE UPSWING
Juan Martin del Potro (ARG): No. 9 ============> No. 8
Laslo Djere (SRB): No. 33 ============> No. 29 (A career high for Djere)
Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN): No. 31 ============> No. 30 (It didn’t go his way against Kei Nishikori in Barcelona. But he has a week to rest and reload for the Madrid-Rome double).
Matteo Berrettini (ITA): No. 55 ============> No. 37 (The 23-year-old Italian, who has been steadily rising in 2019, becomes yet another first-time winner on the ATP tour with his victory over Filip Krajinovic in the Budapest final).
Pierre-Hugues Herbert (FRA): No. 49 ============> No. 43 (As doubles partner Nicolas Mahut begins a new adventure with Jürgen Melzer in Munich, Herbert pursues his singles quest after a semifinal in Budapest).
Mackenzie McDonald (USA): No. 61 ============> No. 57 (The 24-year-old American reaches another career high).
Nicolas Jarry (CHI): No. 81 ============> No. 70 (The lucky loser took full advantage in Barcelona)
Filip Krajinovic (SRB): No. 105 ============> No. 77 (The Budapest finalist remains a long way from his career high of No. 26 exactly a year ago. But he’s headed in the right direction. He’s 15-6 on the season. His problem is that the jump came too late for direct entry into Paris. But he’s two out; he’ll make it).
Roberto Carballes Baena (ESP): No. 104 ============> No. 86 (The little-known Spaniard also was a lucky loser in Barcelona. But he got the first-round bye and rode it all the way to the quarterfinals. He’s right ahead of Krajinovic on the alternates list – i.e., next one in).
Tennys Sandgren (USA): No. 103 ============> No. 93 (It’s been up and down for Sandgren, who backed up his Australian Open effort last year with a final in Houston. He then headed for his first big tour of the European clay, playing six straight weeks. On the negative side, he only one had decent week – the week before Paris, in Geneva. That was actually the only tournament in which he won a patch. We say it’s a plus because this year, as he drops down a notch back to the American Har-Tru Challenger swing, he has little to defend and can work on getting back to the top 100. After losing to Tommy Paul in the Sarasota final last week, he lost to him again in the semis of Tallahassee this week. The effort has been worth 18 spots in the rankings).
Tommy Paul (USA): No.158 ============> No. 143 (Paul, still just 21, reaches a career best with his title in Sarasota, and his final in Tallahassee. He’s moved up from No. 204 in two weeks, more than 60 spots.
David Ferrer (ESP): No. 155 ============> No. 144 (With Ferrer, we know when the end is. It felt like an appropriate ending when he played Rafael Nadal on Pista Rafa Nadal in Barcelona, playing very well in a straight-set loss. But he’s got one more to go before it’s really over, in Madrid).
James Ward (GBR): No. 188 ============> No. 177 (At 32, the Brit faded from view for awhile. The wild card who reached the third round at Wimbledon in 2015, he had knee surgery in Aug. 2017, and it’s been a long road back. A year ago, he was No. 772. Ward lost in the first round seven straight times this year before reaching the semifinals in Leon, Mexico last week. He came close to more; he lost to Blaz Rola 6-7 (5), 6-3, 7-6 (7) ).
Emilio Gomez (ECU): No. 251 ============> No. 197 (At 27, the son of French Open champion Andres Gomez finally breaks into the top 200. Gomez was at No. 369 when he began the season at a $25,000 ITF in California. He lost in the final – and earned ONE ATP Tour ranking point (don’t get us started). Gomez was at No. 309 when he arrived at the Monterrey Challenger in April. A final there got him to No. 258. And the title in Tallahassee (his first Challenger title) finally broke him into the top 200. He has won six of his 10 career Futures titles – the first one all the way back in 2009 – in Ecuador).
Alejandro Tabilo (CHI): No. 497 ============> No. 459 (We mention this 21-year-old from Chile, who reached the third round of the Tallahassee Challenger last week and is at a career high, because when he was a junior, he was a Canadian. His ITF ranking of No. 37 has allowed him to get into some Challengers. And he took advantage of this one. As a junior, he wasn’t one of Tennis Canada’s “chosen ones”. But despite that he was good enough to get into the main draws of junior Grand Slams.
He peaked at No. 29 in the junior rankings after the 2015 French Open. Once he turned pro, he decided to play for Chile, from where his family hails (Tabilo himself was born in Toronto).
The lefty played current top-10 member Stefanos Tsitsipas twice in the juniors and took him to three sets both times.
But the biggest shock was seeing his new mugshot. He was a pretty pudgy kid when he was a junior – tall, but heavy. Now, he’s barely recognizable and listed at 6-foot-4 and 176 pounds. He’s been on the Davis Cup team for Chile already. But he’ll have to wait his turn. There are couple of kids named Cristian Garin and Nicolas Jarry ahead of him).
ON THE DOWNSWING
Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE): No. 8 ============> No. 10 (It’s been sort of a nondescript season so far for Tsitsipas – at least since he lost to Roger Federer in the finals of Dubai. But he’s still hanging in the top 10).
Marco Cecchinato (ITA): No. 17 ============> No. 19 (The 26-year-old has done well to hang inside the top 20, especially as there hasn’t been much clay-court tennis to be played until now. He won Buenos Aires on the dirt back in February. Cecchinato made the third round in Monte Carlo, recovering from a 0-6 first set to shock Stan Wawrinka in three in the second round. He survived not defending his 2018 Budapest title (he went from the qualifying to the trophy, and didn’t play this year).
But the big one is coming up. Then ranked No. 72, Cecchinato was a shock semifinalist at the French Open last year. He defeated Pablo Carreño Busta, David Goffin and Novak Djokovic before to Dominic Thiem. Without those 720 points, he’s just inside the top 40. Which isn’t too bad. And he has some to gain in Madrid and Monte Carlo – assuming he’s healthy).
David Goffin (BEL): No. 22 ============> No. 25 (It’s official, Goffin is struggling. He’s 7-9 on the season. And this is the lowest his ranking has been since Oct. 2014. He even played a Challenger the second week of Indian Wells, after losing his opener to Filip Krajinovic in the desert. Goffin is the No. 4 seed in Estoril this week).
Pablo Carreño Busta (ARG): No. 29 ============> No. 38 (The 27-year-old Spaniard, who sneaked into the top after the 2017 US Open, is finally back from a back injury. He was out from the beginning of February until he returned last week in Barcelona, where he lost his opener to Benoit Paire, 6-1 in the third. Carreño Busta was a semifinalist in Estoril last year, and a quarterfinalist in Rome. So he needs to get back at it as he may already have put himself out of contention for a seed in Paris. A late entry into Estoril, a wild card and No. 7 seed, Carreño Busta has a tough first round in Jérémy Chardy).
Grigor Dimitrov (BUL): No. 43 ============> No. 49 (The Bulgarian is 9-5 on the season. But his ranking is going in the wrong direction. He started the year at No. 19 and right now, he’s the lowest he’s been since Oct. 2012. Dimitrov had brutal draws in Madrid and Rome a year ago. After first-round byes, he drew a pair of returning players who both were ranked No. 24 at the time: Roanic in Madrid and Nishikori in Rome. Unseeded himself now, he’ll have to hope for better luck).
John Millman (AUS): No. 39 ============> No. 50 (The 29-year-old Aussie made the Budapest final a year ago, so that’s where the rankings fall comes from).
Ivo Karlovic (CRO): No. 95 ============> No. 103 (We haven’t seen the big guy since he lost in the first round in Houston to Ryan Harrison. Last year, with his ranking only slightly better, he played Barcelona, Munich and Geneva before the French, with not much to show for it. Karlovic has entered the Rome qualies, but he’s unlikely to get in. And we don’t see anything else at first glance. So perhaps he plans a little drive by to pick up his cheque in Auteuil).
Feliciano Lopez (ESP): No. 93 ============> No. 105 (We don’t know when the end will be for the 37-year-old, who drops out of the top 100 for the first time since … (hold on a sec, we’re scrolling). Okay, since he first entered the top 100 in June, 2002. He might want to play this week, but he’s got another gig. It’s his first year as the tournament director in Madrid, after interning last year. Too bad he’s not likely to he able to sneak a wild card for himself past the rules police. Tommy Haas (the Indian Wells TD) already tried it).